MOY Competition - Estimatathon - Overview

HOSTED BY: Matt Di Gino

WHEN: March 27th, in the year of our Lord, 2010

WHERE: San Francisco, CA

DESCRIPTION: A test of the fifth most manly of skills, estimation

Results !!!

The Podium

1st - Daniel Figoni (36 points)
2nd - Mudskipper (30.66 points)
3rd - PDB (26.11 points)

The Rest of Us Losers 4th Pandemic (22.24 points)5th Jimmy Soo Chew (18.94 points)
6th Nick (16.13 points)7th Vermillion Pancake (13.74 points)
8th Dylan (11.7 points)9th Mike (9.96 points)
10th Serg (8.49 points)

The Epic Story Guess who got last?

competitorsvisual sumgut sumcity sumbonus ptstotal score
DAN86.66.675158.725
JPV955.025107.015
PETE3.57.75.775106.905
ERIC16.56.925106.855
JIMMY65.23.675206.845
NICK7.55.3706.76
TIM6.54.855.125106.545
DYLAN54.355.6106.43
MIKE33.56.375106.325
SURGE5.562.825105.195

The Fine Print

There are 3 sections to speculate on with percentage of overall score and code names for rounds

  • 20% - Visual Calculation
    • ChaChing
    • Splat
  • 20% - Gut Feelings
    • 10 General Knowledge Questions
  • 60% - Know Your City
    • High Heels
    • Patchouli
    • Fish
    • 38
    • High Heels
    • Burner
Meet at my house at 10am I'll begin the presentation with the Visual Calculation rounds. Everyone will have 5 minutes to write down their guesses after each object is revealed. The results will be found out later in the day.

After a brief breakfast we'll get right into the Gut Feelings round. 2 minutes per question, answers revealed right afterwards.

The presentation will then continue with the Know Your City round in which estimations will be requested on some quintessential spots in SF. 4 scenarios will be presented for each spot. Your guesses will be compared to your competitors for each scenario and ranked for points. Bonus points available for putting the 4 scenarios in order. After all guesses are in, we'll head out in teams to the first 4 spots and spend an hour gathering the data. The last round "Burner" will be in effect until midnight, but will not require any field work.

It'll take me a while to crunch the numbers, but we'll have the majority of the scores ready by the end of the night. I'll post the final results on Sunday.

What you need to bring:
  • Counting device if you have one: iPhone users download this app called "Tally Counter"
  • pen
  • lawn chair or something you may want to sit on for the field work
  • brown bag alcohol of choice

I estimate your chances of fun at 65%
Chances each individual will bitch about a certain aspect of this needlessly complicated scoring system at 95%